Testing & Measurement

Marketing Mix Modeling

Also called MMM

By the AdFlint research team · Last reviewed July 2026

Estimates each channel's contribution by fitting aggregate sales against spend, seasonality, pricing, and external factors over time, without user-level data.

A regression over historical weekly or monthly data separates the effect of each media channel from seasonality, promotions, and macro noise, and can express diminishing returns and carryover. It appeals because it needs no cookies or identifiers and covers offline media. It demands years of clean history, cannot guide day-to-day bidding, and is correlational, so standard practice is to calibrate the model against real incrementality experiments.

Marketing Mix Modeling compared with

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