Testing & Measurement

Incrementality Testing

By the AdFlint research team · Last reviewed July 2026

Measures how many conversions the advertising actually caused by comparing an exposed group against a randomized control that saw nothing.

You withhold ads from a randomly chosen slice of the eligible audience or market, then read the difference in outcomes between exposed and held-out groups. It answers the question attribution cannot: how much of this would have happened anyway. Advertisers run it on brand search, retargeting, and any channel with suspiciously good reported returns. The mistake is running it too small or too briefly to detect a realistic lift.

Incrementality Testing compared with

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